AMPELD
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Ampeld Engine™
NGASNatural Gas· 1H3.1160
Sellers' stops above3.1510+1.12%
Buyers' stops below3.1030−0.42%

Where the model places likely stop concentration — context, not price targets. In our tests a stop on these levels was hit no more often than one the same distance away. These are yesterday's — live levels move with price.

NGAS liquidation heatmap right now

Modeled from candles through 16 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

With Natural Gas (NGAS) trading around 3.1160, the Ampeld engine puts the upper edge of the modeled stop-loss band at 3.1957 (+2.56% from price) and the lower edge at 3.0613 (-1.76%). These are where the model places the densest stop concentration — a reference for checking your own stop, not a level price is expected to reach.

Stop band, upper edge3.1957+2.56%
Stop band, lower edge3.0613-1.76%
Nearest order block above3.1510unmitigated
Nearest order block below3.1030unmitigated

Forced-exit ladder — by leverage tier

Above 3.1510

  1. 3.1668200x
  2. 3.1825100x
  3. 3.214050x
  4. 3.277025x
  5. 3.466110x

Below 3.1030

  1. 3.0875200x
  2. 3.0720100x
  3. 3.040950x
  4. 2.978925x
  5. 2.792710x

The 1H model currently tracks 3 unmitigated fair value gaps on NGAS, alongside 15 open daily and 8 open weekly high-timeframe levels. The model's estimated effective spread, used as the buffer around each level, is 0.04% of price.

These figures are on the free 24-hour delay. Live levels update continuously down to 5-minute candles.

See these levels live →

NGAS Liquidation Heatmap — Natural Gas Stop-Loss Clusters

Asset: Natural Gas (NGAS)Category: CommodityPrecision: Dynamic ATR Decay

NGAS can reprice sharply around scheduled data and geopolitical news. Ampeld models stop concentration from OHLCV and volatility; it has no private futures or broker order book.

Reading NGAS: Use the NGAS bands to stress-test stop distance before volatile sessions or reports. They do not predict which band price will reach.

The engine treats NGAS the same way it treats every instrument: stop-loss concentration bands from volatility and position decay, order blocks and fair value gaps from candle structure, and daily and weekly levels. What differs between instruments is the volatility and the session rhythm, which is what the numbers above reflect.

Size a position for your stop: once you know where your NGAS stop goes, the free NGAS position size calculator turns account size, risk and stop distance into MMBtu, margin and risk/reward. It draws the same modelled stop concentration on its chart as a reference for checking your stop, runs in your browser and needs no account.

Teach or write about NGAS? Embed this chart on your site for free - one line of code, redrawn every 10 minutes (24-hour delay).

Placing a stop here? Read why price keeps hitting your stop and how to size a stop from volatility. Wondering whether these levels work? We measured ours and published the full method. Background: what a liquidation heatmap is, how CVD works.

Do EMA, MACD, RSI and Stochastic work on NGAS?

Every signal the four most-used indicators gave on the Natural Gas (NGAS) chart, checked against what price did next. A signal is a win (W) if price moved 1 ATR its way before 1 ATR against, within 48 bars. Across our 41 markets we checked 21,566 hourly signals: each of these indicators wins 49–51% of the time. Here is how they have done on NGAS.

1H chart · last 44 days · 24h delay

EMA 9/21 cross
11 W15 L42% win rate
LWLLWLLWLWWLLLLWWWLL

Now: 2 losses in a row · longest 3 wins, 4 losses

Could be luck — chance alone gives 31–69% over 26 signals

A run does not make the next signal likelier to win — we checked 15,192 signals.

MACD cross
26 W19 L58% win rate
WWWLWLWLWLLLLWWWWWLL

Now: 2 losses in a row · longest 5 wins, 4 losses

Could be luck — chance alone gives 35–65% over 45 signals

A run does not make the next signal likelier to win — we checked 15,192 signals.

RSI 30/70 reversal
15 W5 L75% win rate
WWWWWWWWWWLLLLLWWWWW

Now: 5 wins in a row · longest 10 wins, 5 losses

Above the luck band (28–72% over 20 signals) — 1 test in 40 lands here by chance alone

A run does not make the next signal likelier to win — we checked 15,192 signals.

Stochastic 14/3/3 cross
24 W21 L53% win rate
WWLLLLLWLWWLLWLWWWLL

Now: 2 losses in a row · longest 5 wins, 5 losses

Could be luck — chance alone gives 35–65% over 45 signals

A run does not make the next signal likelier to win — we checked 15,192 signals.

A run tells you what just happened, not what comes next: across 15,192 signals on 41 markets, after one to five losses in a row the next signal won 41–56% of the time — no better than any other. Past signals, not a forecast.

See every signal on the NGAS chart →

Paying for a signal channel? A win rate means little without its take-profit and stop distances: check it against random gold entries →

❓ Frequently Asked Questions (NGAS FAQ)

How do you read the Natural Gas (NGAS) liquidation heatmap?

High-density colour clusters mark where the model places retail stop-loss and margin-call concentration. On NGAS right now, with price around 3.1160, that band runs from 3.0613 to 3.1957. Read those as a reference for where other traders' stops may sit, not as targets — we measured our levels against a control: price reaches them no more often than a point the same distance away, and they do not predict which way price moves.

What is Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) for NGAS?

Cumulative Volume Delta estimates the net buy versus sell pressure behind NGAS from its price and volume. Divergences between price direction and modelled CVD can flag absorption and exhaustion, which is context rather than a signal.

Where should I put my stop when trading NGAS?

Size the stop from NGAS's own volatility first: in our tests, a stop's distance in ATR set how often it was hit, and an obvious swing low, round number or fair value gap was reached no more often than any other point the same distance away. The engine is currently tracking 3 unmitigated fair value gaps on NGAS alongside the cluster bands, as context rather than as levels to trade.

More Commodities & Metals

Other commodities & metals the engine models the same way as NGAS. See all 41 markets.

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